Solon Strategy: Mobile Data Traffic in Germany

January 31st, 2012

Solon Strategy’s latest white paper, “Mobile data growth: how German mobile data traffic will grow by 2016″, predicts a 15-fold increase in traffic by 2106 to more than 2,100 Petabytes annually. Underlying this growth is not only a growth in the number of devices, which is expected to almost triple in the period, but also the trend towards higher definition videos and the greater data hunger of tablets and laptops. The paper acknowledges the growth of M2M services but expects these to account for less than 2% of total mobile traffic in 2016.

Mobile data growth: how German mobile data traffic will grow by 2016a>

Top Trends for 2012

December 31st, 2011

Phil Asmundson of Deloitte singles out the proliferation of wireless as his key trend with spectrum shortages and the investments required to roll-out 4G as main challenges. 2012 Outlook on Telecommunications.

Alex Liu of A.T. Kearney’s trends include the (mobile) data explosion, machine-to-machine (M2M) and government-backed broadband. He also notes the Cloud and next-generation analytics as drivers of data demand. A.T. Kearney’s Crystal Ball 2012.

Brief references

December 9th, 2011

The ACMA outlines how the development of a common accessible broadband infrastructure can facilitate the creation of next generation applications and services and the pressures these developments make on current regulatory arrangements.

Darrell West of The Brookings Institution sums up “Ten Facts about Mobile Broadband”

Current Analysis examines current commercial LTE offers in Europe. Marketing LTE: Early Service Trends in Europe

E&Y on significant developments in telecoms

December 9th, 2011

Ernst & Young’s Global Telecommunications Center has published the latest edition of “Inside Telecommunications”, its review of “the most significant developments in the telecommunications sector each quarter”. This quarter’s highlights include cloud based services offered by telecoms operators, the rise of mobile instant messaging as a substitute for SMS, and operators’ strategies for offloading mobile data traffic.

“Inside Telecommunications” Q3 2011

WWRF – Requirements and vision for Next Generation Wireless

October 31st, 2011

The Wireless World Research Forum’s latest Outlook white paper “Requirements and vision for Next Generation Wireless” is the first phase of the Forum’s proposal for a future Internet oriented wireless system for the year 2020. The paper describes the type of services that will be supported, e.g. pervasive HD multimedia, and by coupling these with the environment constraints proposes business and traffic models to 2020.

WWRF – Requirements and vision for Next Generation Wireless

Analysys Mason – Future mobile network trends

October 31st, 2011

Terry Norman’s presentation at Cambridge Wireless event “Is it time to transform the wireless operator business model?” earlier this month noted the drivers of increased mobile data volume, and the technologies that will be required to cope with it. Analysys Mason predicts that mobile data traffic in developed countries will be seven times higher in 2016 compared to this year, despite penetration of mobile devices being almost at saturation. With revenues per GB expected to fall by a factor of three, Analysys Mason has modeled four scenarios by which operators can reduce their network costs to retain profitability.

Analysys Mason – Future mobile network trends

Yankee Group – Prospects for wirelessly connected devices

October 31st, 2011

A recent white paper written by the Yankee Group for 4G Americas, “Mobile Broadband Connected Future: From Billions of People to Billions of Things”, reviews the prospects for connected devices (aka M2M) using 3GPP networks: HSPA and LTE. The paper explains why M2M services are being adopted, reviews the types of applications that benefit from M2M and forecasts connections and ARPU to 2015.

Mobile Broadband Connected Future: From Billions of People to Billions of Things

UMTS Forum – Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020

August 31st, 2011

UMTS Forum Report 44 contains striking data on the demand for mobile data services. One Scandinavian operator recently indicated that the average 3G smart phone user consumed 375 MB/month of data, the average 3G broadband user consumed 5 GB/month, while the average LTE consumer used 14 GB – 15 GB/month of data. The report concludes that total worldwide mobile traffic will reach more than 127 EB in 2020, a 33 times increase. UMTS Forum – Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020

Fibre to the Home Council Europe’s market forecast

February 28th, 2011

The FTTH Council’s latest market forecast for Europe, by Graham Finnie of Heavy Reading, notes slower progress within the EU contrasted with faster progress outside. It forecasts that Russia will have the highest number of connected households in 2015, more than 9 million, with a household penetration of almost 18%. The highest household penetration is expected to be in Slovenia, at almost 36%, followed by Sweden, Norway and Denmark.

FTTH Council – Market Forecast December 2010

PRTM’s views on the future of telecommunications

February 15th, 2011

PRTM’s new report looks at developing markets, where a number of entrepreneurial operators have become global leaders, and developed markets, where operators with both fixed and mobile networks are focusing on regional rather than global growth. It foresees further consolidation amongst equipment suppliers and further cost cutting by operators. The report includes global company rankings by revenues and customers, which compare 2010 data with earlier years.

The Future of Telecommunications: New Strategies for a New World by PRTM and The Mobile World